Island Climate Update 167 - August 2014

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Download ICU 167 (PDF 306 KB) 

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In this issue

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    The atmosphere has yet to respond to the ocean in order to initiate an El Niño event.
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    El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

    The equatorial Pacific Ocean remains ENSO-neutral at the end of July 2014, with atmospheric and oceanic conditions failing to sufficiently couple and thereby initiate an El Niño event.
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    South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast August to October 2014

    For August – October 2014, the South Pacific Convergence Zone is forecast to sit close to normal for the time of year. The models indicate a well-defined SPCZ to the west of the International Dateline.
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    Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: August to October 2014

    The dynamical forecast models continue to predict drier than normal conditions in large regions of the Pacific south of the Equator for August – October 2014.
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    Data sources

    Sources of South Pacific rainfall data