Island Climate Update 165 - June 2014

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

06 June 2014

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Download Island Climate Update - June 2014 165 (PDF 767 KB)

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Island Climate Update

In this issue

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    Introduction

    The tropical Pacific was bordeline between neutral and El Niño conditions in May 2014.

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    El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

    The tropical Pacific Ocean was borderline between neutral and El Niño conditions in May 2014.

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    South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast June to August 2014

    The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.

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    Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: June to August 2014

    The dynamical forecast models are in good agreement this month and predict (June – August 2014 period) a pattern consistent with anomalies generally experienced during El Niño.

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    Data Sources

    Sources of South Pacific rainfall data.