08 March 2016
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
Download ICU 186 (PDF 1.1 MB)
Download ICU Water Watch (PDF 350 KB)
In this issue
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Strong El Niño conditions continued during February 2016, but the event is clearly in its decay phase, having reached a peak at the end of 2015.-
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast March to May 2016
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position. -
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: March to May 2016
The dynamical models are in agreement to forecast continuing El Niño conditions for the March – May 2016 period (99% chance). -
ICU Water Watch
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.