Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.
Tonga: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced from August 2014- January 2015. Rainfall during February was near normal and the forecast for March to May is for near normal rainfall to continue.
Kiribati (Phoenix): Below to well below normal rainfall for 5 of the last 6 months. The forecast for March to May is for near normal or above normal rainfall.
Marquesas: Below normal rainfall experienced for 4 out of the last 7 months. The forecast for March to May is for below normal rainfall.
IMPORTANT NOTE
This advisory is prepared from the Island Climate Update bulletin produced by NIWA in association with the Pacific Island Meteorological Services and other supporting meteorological organisations. It is made possible with financial support from the New Zealand Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade Aid Programme, with additional support from the Secretariat for the Pacific Regional Environmental Programme (SPREP).
