Regional drought potential advisory
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past three months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.
Tonga: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced over the past 6 months. The forecast for January to March is once again for normal or below normal rainfall.
Fiji: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced since June with the exception of October where rainfall was normal. No clear guidance was available for the January-March forecast period.
Vanuatu, Kiribati (Phoenix): Below to well below normal rainfall experienced in November-December with normal or below rainfall forecast for Vanuatu and no clear guidance for Phoenix Islands.
IMPORTANT NOTE
This advisory is prepared from the Island Climate Update bulletin produced by NIWA in association with the Pacific Island Meteorological Services and other supporting meteorological organisations. It is made possible with financial support from the New Zealand Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade Aid Programme, with additional support from the Secretariat for the Pacific Regional Environmental Programme (SPREP).
