Our seasonal climate outlooks provide air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season.
Watch Chris Brandolino, NIWA Principal Scientist - Forecasting, explain how our seasonal climate outlooks can help your business succeed and how our seasonal climate outlooks can be interpreted.
Related information:
- Sea Surface Temperature Update
- Forecasting climate [PDF 76.7 KB]
- More on probabilities [PDF 11.8 KB]
- Southern Annular Mode
- El Niño Southern Oscillation
- What's average in my region?
Explore our Drought Forecasting Dashboard below, request data via a web form or pop out to full screen
Issues
-
Seasonal Climate Outlook: October - December 2012
Borderline or weak El Niño forecast for late spring -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2012
Weak El Niño forecast for spring and summer. -
-
Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2012
Drier late winter likely for some. -
-
Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2012
La Niña over, and a mild start to winter for New Zealand. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: April - June 2012
La Niña ending, but easterly circulation regime to persist. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: March - May 2012
La Niña gone by Easter; somewhat stormy Tasman Sea. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2012
La Niña set to fade with a near-normal lead-in to autumn. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: January - March 2012
La Niña through late summer: continuing wet in north and dry in south. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2011 - February 2012
Mild La Niña summer likely. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: November 2011 - January 2012
La Niña back but a typical summer likely. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: October - December 2011
Dry conditions likely as La Niña returns. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2011
Cool start, mild and dry later. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: August - October 2011
Mild conditions with near average rainfall likely in most places. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2011
Mild conditions likely to continue through late winter. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: June - August 2011
La Niña gone, but a mild winter still likely. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2011
A mild early winter shaping up for many regions; La Niña bowing out. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: April - June 2011
Mild conditions continuing into late autumn as La Niña weakens. -
-
Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2011
Warmer than normal conditions likely to continue into autumn. -
-
Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2010 - February 2011
A typical La Niña summer likely. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: November 2010 - January 2011
La Niña locked in – a warm early summer likely.