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Seasonal Climate Outlook

Our seasonal climate outlooks provide air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season.

Watch Chris Brandolino, NIWA Principal Scientist - Forecasting, explain how our seasonal climate outlooks can help your business succeed and how our seasonal climate outlooks can be interpreted.

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Explore our Drought Forecasting Dashboard below or pop out to full screen


El Niño to exit by the end of autumn.
A cool end to summer, and continuing drier than normal in the north.
Late summer – more of the same.
El Niño strengthens, with conditions likely to be cooler in south and drier in northeast.
Moderate El Niño conditions, but muted influence on New Zealand in the coming season.
Weak El Niño not likely to greatly influence New Zealand rainfall in the coming season.
A windy spring ahead with drier than normal conditions in many regions.
Typical of early spring right across New Zealand.
A wet end to winter, with near average temperatures in most regions.
La Niña over, with a near-normal winter on the way.