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Seasonal Climate Outlook

Our seasonal climate outlooks provide air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season.

Watch Chris Brandolino, NIWA Principal Scientist - Forecasting, explain how our seasonal climate outlooks can help your business succeed and how our seasonal climate outlooks can be interpreted.

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Issues

Seasonal Climate Outlook: November 2013 - January 2014

The equatorial Pacific Ocean continues in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña).

Seasonal Climate Outlook: October - December 2013

Near or above average temperatures are expected to continue across the country for the coming three months.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2013

After a very warm winter, the coming spring is likely to have near or above average temperatures across the country.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: August - October 2013

A warm early spring on the cards

Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2013

Mild conditions likely to continue over late winter.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: June - August 2013

Mild winter very likely.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2013

Mild early winter on the cards.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: April - June 2013

Mild conditions for late autumn.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: March - May 2013

Mild autumn on the cards.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2013

Return to near normal over the coming season.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: January - March 2013

Wetter in west and drier in east likely to continue.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2012 - February 2013

Normal to dry summer for the north & east of North Island.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: November 2012 - January 2013

Normal to dry early summer for North Island, Nelson and Marlborough.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: October - December 2012

Borderline or weak El Niño forecast for late spring

Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2012

Weak El Niño forecast for spring and summer.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: August - October 2012

On the brink of El Niño.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2012

Drier late winter likely for some.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: June - August 2012

Drier winter likely for some.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2012

La Niña over, and a mild start to winter for New Zealand.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: April - June 2012

La Niña ending, but easterly circulation regime to persist.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: March - May 2012

La Niña gone by Easter; somewhat stormy Tasman Sea.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2012

La Niña set to fade with a near-normal lead-in to autumn.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: January - March 2012

La Niña through late summer: continuing wet in north and dry in south.

Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2011 - February 2012

Mild La Niña summer likely.

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