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Seasonal Climate Outlook

Our seasonal climate outlooks provide air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season.

Watch Chris Brandolino, NIWA Principal Scientist - Forecasting, explain how our seasonal climate outlooks can help your business succeed and how our seasonal climate outlooks can be interpreted.

Background and related information:


La Niña over, and a mild start to winter for New Zealand.
La Niña ending, but easterly circulation regime to persist.
La Niña gone by Easter; somewhat stormy Tasman Sea.
La Niña set to fade with a near-normal lead-in to autumn.
La Niña through late summer: continuing wet in north and dry in south.
La Niña back but a typical summer likely.
Dry conditions likely as La Niña returns.
Mild conditions with near average rainfall likely in most places.
Mild conditions likely to continue through late winter.
La Niña gone, but a mild winter still likely.
A mild early winter shaping up for many regions; La Niña bowing out.
Mild conditions continuing into late autumn as La Niña weakens.
A mild autumn with La Niña easing.
Warmer than normal conditions likely to continue into autumn.
La Niña locked in – a warm early summer likely.
La Niña intensifies; warm late spring period very likely.
A mild La Niña spring on the way.
La Niña conditions for the rest of 2010.
La Niña on the way - mild conditions likely.
Mild conditions likely to continue through winter.