On 1 July 2025, NIWA merged with GNS Science to become Earth Sciences New Zealand.

Ave number of tropical cyclones passing close to the main South Pacific Island groups Nov 2013 - April 2014

Table 1: The average number of tropical cyclones passing close to the main South Pacific Island groups between November and April. The activity associated with some island groups for the coming season is a subjective assessment, and has been stated to be consistent with the wishes of the national meteorological services involved in generating this regional forecast. In addition, subjective qualification of activity (and associated risk) also recognises the small differences between the actual TC counts for the analog composites and climatological values. The table is therefore only generally indicative of how many storms might be expected for any given island group for the coming season.