On 1 July 2025, NIWA merged with GNS Science to become Earth Sciences New Zealand.

Sea Surface Temperature Update

To give insights to sea surface temperatures, Earth Sciences NZ scientists have combined predictions from ten climate models from institutes around the world.

Forecasting sea surface temperatures several months in advance is challenging. To give us insights into what might happen around Aotearoa New Zealand in the months to come, Earth Sciences NZ scientists have combined predictions from ten different climate models from institutes around the world. 

For more background on the development and validation of SST and Marine Heatwave forecasts, see Frontiers | Multi-model ensemble forecasts of sea surface temperatures and marine heatwaves for Aotearoa New Zealand.

Issues

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    Sea Surface Temperature Forecasts January -June 2022

    Forecasting sea surface temperatures several months in advance is challenging. To give us insights into what might happen around Aotearoa New Zealand in the months to come, NIWA scientists have combined predictions from eight different climate models from institutes around the world.
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    Sea Surface Temperature Forecasts Oct 2021 - Mar 2022

    Forecasting sea surface temperatures several months in advance is challenging. To give us insights into what might happen around Aotearoa New Zealand in the months to come, NIWA scientists have combined predictions from eight different climate models from institutes around the world.