Introduction to Island Climate Update 118 - July 2010
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
• La Niña signals are currently being observed in the equatorial Pacific region. Many dynamical climate models project development of La Niña by the onset of Austral spring.
ICU feature article- Tropical Cyclone Oli impacts Tubuai
• A summary of the events in early February 2010 when TC Oli crossed French Polynesia, contributed by Sebastien Hugony, Meteo France.
Multi-model Ensemble Tool for Pacific Island (METPI) rainfall and sea surface temperature forecasts
• Near or below normal rainfall is forecast for the Marquesas, Western Kiribati and Pitcairn Island, while below normal rainfall is expected for Eastern Kiribati.
• Above normal rainfall is expected for Papua New Guinea, the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Wallis & Futuna and Samoa.
• Near or below normal sea surface temperatures are forecast for the Marquesas, and below normal sea surface temperatures are projected for Eastern Kiribati.
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