28 February 2007
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
Number 76 – January 2007
December’s climate
- Moderate El Niño persisted in the Southwest Pacific
- Active Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) north of the equator
- Suppressed convection over Tokelau and the Northern Cook Islands
- Very low rainfall throughout much of New Caledonia
- Warmer than normal in Tuvalu and much of French Polynesia, cooler in New Caledonia
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and seasonal rainfall forecasts
- El Niño is expected to weaken during the next 3-month period
- Below average rainfall likely for Vanuatu and New Caledonia
- Above average rainfall forecast for Western and Eastern Kiribati, the Solomon Islands, Tuvalu, and Tokelau
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