24 November 2010
Introduction to Island Climate Update 119 - August 2010
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
- La Niña is building in the equatorial Pacific region. Many dynamical climate models project development of La Niña by the onset of Austral spring. The event is expected to continue through the end of the calendar year.
ICU feature article- Tropical Cyclone Oli impacts Tubuai
- A summary of the events in early February 2010 when TC Oli crossed French Polynesia, contributed by Sebastien Hugony, Meteo France.
Multi-model Ensemble Tool for Pacific Island (METPI) rainfall and sea surface temperature forecasts
- Below normal rainfall is forecast for the Western Kiribati and Eastern Kiribati, while below near or below normal rainfall is expected for Pitcairn Island and the Marquesas.
- Above normal rainfall is expected for Papua New Guinea, the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, Wallis & Futuna and Samoa.
- Near or below normal sea surface temperatures are forecast for the arquesas, Western Kiribati and Eastern Kiribati.
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