Outlook: October-December 2018

October – December 2018 temperatures are forecast to be average (45% chance) for all regions of New Zealand except the north of the South Island, where temperatures are forecast to be below average (40% chance) or near average (35% chance). 

October – December 2018 rainfall totals are forecast to below normal (35 – 40% chance) or near normal (35 – 40% chance) for all regions of New Zealand except the east of the North Island, where near normal rainfall is most likely (45% chance).

October – December 2018 soil moisture levels and river flows are forecast to be below normal (40 –45% chance) or near normal (40% chance) for all regions of New Zealand.

 

Graphical representation of the regional probabilities, Seasonal Climate Outlook, October-December.