Future Climate Flagship

Better predictions of climate and climate impacts from weeks to decades enabling New Zealand and the Pacific to thrive and prosper under a changing climate.

This Flagship delivers quality information about our future climate to those who need it, working closely with other science providers and stakeholders from central and local government, businesses, sector organisations and communities. This information is essential for ensuring national productivity and growth under present-day and future impacts of extreme weather events, climate variability, and change.

We perform advanced regional-scale climate modelling and AI-based downscaling. We create tools, guidance and decision-support systems to build resilience into New Zealand’s infrastructure and built assets, financial system, business continuity, economic investment opportunities, and urban and land use planning.

Our research will support New Zealand’s adaptation to a changing climate. This is especially important as climate impacts become more severe across various locations, communities and economic sectors. These climate impacts affect water, energy, and food security, human and animal health, built and natural environments, and cultural and economic wellbeing. Public and private sector stakeholders, and iwi and hapū, increasingly seek guidance on responding to these challenges in ways that enhance resilience, productivity, and growth. This Flagship produces data, tools and guidance to enable climate adaptation and more effective long-term planning. We quantify and disseminate information about compounding climate risks and impacts across multiple environments, land uses and economic sectors. This includes developing advanced weather and climate models, augmented with artificial intelligence.

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