Our seasonal climate outlooks provide air temperature, rainfall, soil moisture and river flow predictions for the coming season.
Watch Chris Brandolino, NIWA Principal Scientist - Forecasting, explain how our seasonal climate outlooks can help your business succeed and how our seasonal climate outlooks can be interpreted.
Related information:
- Sea Surface Temperature Update
- Forecasting climate (PDF)
- More on probabilities (PDF)
- Southern Annular Mode
- El Niño Southern Oscillation
- What's average in my region?
Explore our Drought Forecasting Dashboard below or pop out to full screen
Issues
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Seasonal Climate Outlook: April - June 2014
The equatorial Pacific Ocean continued in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in March 2014. International guidance indicates that ENSO-neutral conditions are the most likely outcome for the next three months (April – June 2014). -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: March - May 2014
During March–May 2014, mean sea level pressures are expected to be lower than normal to the north of the country, with higher pressures than normal to the southeast of New Zealand. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: February 2014 - April 2014
The equatorial Pacific Ocean continued in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in January 2013. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: January 2014 - March 2014
The equatorial Pacific Ocean continued in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in December 2013. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2013 - February 2014
The equatorial Pacific Ocean continues in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in November 2013. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: November 2013 - January 2014
The equatorial Pacific Ocean continues in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña). -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: October - December 2013
Near or above average temperatures are expected to continue across the country for the coming three months. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2013
After a very warm winter, the coming spring is likely to have near or above average temperatures across the country. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: August - October 2013
A warm early spring on the cards -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2013
Mild conditions likely to continue over late winter. -
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Seasonal Climate Outlook: February - April 2013
Return to near normal over the coming season. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: January - March 2013
Wetter in west and drier in east likely to continue. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: December 2012 - February 2013
Normal to dry summer for the north & east of North Island. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: November 2012 - January 2013
Normal to dry early summer for North Island, Nelson and Marlborough. -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: October - December 2012
Borderline or weak El Niño forecast for late spring -
Seasonal Climate Outlook: September - November 2012
Weak El Niño forecast for spring and summer. -
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Seasonal Climate Outlook: July - September 2012
Drier late winter likely for some. -
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Seasonal Climate Outlook: May - July 2012
La Niña over, and a mild start to winter for New Zealand.