Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.
Papua New Guinea, Vanuatu: Below to well below normal rainfall experienced since June in Vanuatu and since July in Papua New Guinea with below normal rainfall forecast over the next 3 months.
Fiji, Tonga, New Caledonia: Below to well below normal rainfall observed for 4 (New Caledonia) and 5 (Fiji & Tonga) of the past 6 months. Below normal rainfall is forecast from November to January.
Solomon Islands, Samoa, Southern Cook Islands: Below to well below normal rainfall observed for 3 (Solomon Islands) and 2 (Samoa and Southern Cooks Island) of the past 6 months. Below normal rainfall is forecast for all three island groups from November to January.
Marquesas: Below to well below normal rainfall observed over the past 6 months. The forecast for the coming 3 months is for normal or above normal rainfall
IMPORTANT NOTE
This advisory is prepared from the Island Climate Update bulletin produced by NIWA in association with the Pacific Island Meteorological Services and other supporting meteorological organisations. It is made possible with financial support from the New Zealand Ministry for Foreign Affairs and Trade Aid Programme, with additional support from the Secretariat for the Pacific Regional Environmental Programme (SPREP).
