Outlook – July to September 2015

Temperatures are most likely to be near average in all regions of New Zealand.

Rainfall is equally likely to be in the below normal range for the north of both Islands and the west of the North Island, and about equally likely to be in in the near normal or below normal range for the east of both Islands. Near normal rainfall is most likely for the west of the South Island.

Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be below normal in the north of the North Island and the east of the South Island and about equally likely to be in the below normal or near normal range in the east of the North Island and the north of the South Island. Below normal or near normal river flows are also equally likely for the west of the North Island. In the west of the South Island, river flows are about equally likely to be in the near normal or above normal range. Near normal soil moisture levels are likely are forecast for the west of both Islands.