Outlook – June to August 2015

Temperatures are equally likely to be  average or above average in all regions of New Zealand except in the north of the North Island, where temperatures for the next three months as a whole are most likely to be in the near normal range. Note that cold snaps and frosts are to be expected in some parts of the country as we progress into winter.

Rainfall is about equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range for all regions of New Zealand except for the west of the South Island, where near normal rainfall is the most likely outcome.

Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be below normal in the east of the South Island and about equally likely to below normal or near normal in the north and east of the North Island. In the west of the North Island and the north of the South Island, soil moisture levels are most likely to be in the near normal range, while river flows are about equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range. Soil moisture levels and river flows are about equally likely to be in the near normal or above normal range in the west of the South Island.