Outlook – April to June 2015

Temperatures are most likely to be in the above average range in the east and north of the North Island. For all remaining regions of New Zealand temperatures are about equally likely to be in the near average or above average range. As autumn progresses, cold snaps and frosts can still be expected from time to time in some parts of the country.

Rainfall is equally likely to be in the near normal or above normal range in the west of the North Island. Rainfall totals for the season are about equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range for the north and east of the North Island and the east of the South Island. In the north and west of the South Island, rainfall is most likely to be in the near normal range.

Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be below normal in the east of the South Island. Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be in the near normal range in the west of the North Island and west of the South Island. In the north and east of the North Island, soil moisture levels are about equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range, while river flows are most likely to be in the below normal range. Soil moisture levels and river flows are equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range for the north of the South Island.