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Outlook – March to May 2015

Temperatures are about equally likely to be in the near average or above average range for all regions of New Zealand. As autumn progresses, cold snaps and frosts can be expected from time to time in some parts of the country.

Rainfall is equally likely to be in the near normal or above normal range in the east of the South Island, most likely to be near normal in the north and west of the South Island, and about equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range for regions of the North Island.  

Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be below normal in the north and east of the North Island, and about equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range in the west of the North Island and north and west of the South Island. In the east of the South Island, soil moisture levels are about equally likely to be in the near normal or below normal range and river flows are most likely to be below normal.

Graphical representation of the regional probabilities, Seasonal Climate Outlook, March-May 2015.

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