Global Setting – July 2012
Conditions in the tropical Pacific are currently on the brink of El Niño, and it is likely El Niño will develop during the early spring period. In the New Zealand region, however, lower pressures to the north of the country, and higher pressures to the south of New Zealand, are still likely to dominate for the August-October period.
Sea surface temperatures
Sea temperatures around New Zealand are likely to be near normal for the season as a whole.