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Climate Update 93 - March 2007


February's climate

Global setting & climate outlook

Feature article

Feature article

El Niño fades faster than expected 

Forecasts made by dynamical and statistical models for SST departures from normal in a region of the eastern equatorial Pacific known as Nino 3.4, for nine overlapping 3–month periods.

The state of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is an important factor in determining seasonal climate predictions for New Zealand.


A monthly newsletter from the National Climate Centre.
March 2007 – Number 93
February – well below normal rain in most regions, apart from some flooding in Northland. Temperatures were above average in western and inland South Island regions, and below average in many northern and eastern regions.
Outlook for March to May – more northerly or northeasterly airflows than usual. Air temperatures are likely to be average or above average.

February's climate

New Zealand climate in February

Rainfall (click to enlarge).

Temperature (click to enlarge).

February was unusually dry over much of New Zealand. Ranfurly in North Otago had no measurable rainfall in February, and just 1% of normal rainfall was recorded at Lake Tekapo, making it the driest February there in over 80 years.


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