Outlook and outcome – July 2004 to September 2004
Atmospheric circulation over New Zealand was more southwesterly than expected.
Normal rainfall was predicted for most of New Zealand. The outcome was drier than normal conditions in parts of the north and west of the North Island, Kaikoura, and Otago, and above average rain in Bay of Plenty, the southern North Island, and parts of Southland.
Air temperatures were lower than predicted across the country. River flows were expected to be generally normal.
River flows were below normal in the northern North Island and the South Island east coast, above normal in the eastern Bay of Plenty and the southern North Island, and near normal elsewhere.