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July

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Number 82 – July 2007

June’s climate

  • South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) west of the Date Line
  • Enhanced convergence southwest of New Caledonia; suppressed convection over the Equator, and Fiji
  • Above average rainfall in Southern French Polynesia; well below average rainfall in parts of Fiji
  • Warmer than normal in many Southwest Pacific islands, especially New Caledonia

El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and seasonal rainfall forecasts

  • Conditions in the Pacific region suggest development of a La Niña
  • BBelow average rainfall over Western and Eastern Kiribati
  • Above average rainfall over Samoa and the Northern Cook Islands

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