November

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Number 74 – November 2006

October’s climate

• ‘Xavier’, an early tropical cyclone
• Moderate El Niño underway in the Southwest Pacific
• Enhanced convection about and west of the Date Line, and extremely wet in parts of Western Kiribati
• Cooler and drier than normal in New Caledonia, dry also in Niue

El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and seasonal rainfall forecasts

• The tropical Pacific ocean and atmosphere show a clear El Niño state
• Above average rainfall likely over Western and Eastern Kirbati, Tuvalu and Tokelau
• Below average rainfall expected over Papua New Guinea, New Caledonia and the Marquesas Islands

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