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June

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.

Number 69 – June 2006

May’s climate

  • South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) further south than average
  • Suppressed convection from Nauru to Eastern Kiribati
  • High rainfall in parts of central French Polynesia
  • Very dry in southern Tonga
  • Temperature: above average in parts of Tonga, and French Polynesia; below average in New Caledonia

El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and seasonal rainfall forecasts

  • The tropical Pacific is now in a neutral ENSO state
  • Below average rainfall expected over Tuvalu, Tokelau, the Northern Cook Islands, and the Marquesas Islands
  • A large region of enhanced convection from Papua New Guinea southeastwards to the Austral Islands

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