Introduction
Strong El Niño conditions continued in November 2015.
Island Climate Update 183 - December 2015
9 December 2015
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
Download ICU 183 (PDF 1.2 MB)
Download ICU Water Watch (PDF 345 KB)
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
Strong El Niño conditions continued in November 2015.
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast December 2015 to February 2016
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: December 2015 to February 2016
The dynamical models are all in agreement to forecast continuing strong El Niño conditions for the December 2015 – February 2016 period.
ICU Water Watch
Based on rainfall anomaly classification over the past six months and forecast rainfall anomaly classification over the next 3 months.
Data Sources
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data.