Introduction
The equatorial Pacific remains in a neutral ENSO state.
Island Climate Update 159 - December 2013
14 January 2014
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region.
El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
The tropical Pacific ocean remained in a neutral state (neither El Niño nor La Niña) in November 2013.
South Pacific Convergence Zone forecast December 2013 to February 2014
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: December 2013 to February 2014
The dynamical models continue to indicate slightly drier conditions than normal in the far eastern Pacific, including parts of French Polynesia.
Data sources
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data.