Introduction
El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
- The Tropical Pacific Ocean is still warmer than normal, but surface and subsurface anomalies have weakened over the past few weeks.
Island Climate Update 145 - October 2012
4 October 2012
An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region
Download ICU 145 as a PDF (679 kB)
El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO)
The equatorial Pacific ocean remains warmer than normal and in a borderline El Niño state, but the atmospheric conditions are close to neutral and are displaying anomalies atypical of El Niño.
South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) forecast October to December 2012
The ensemble of global climate models for rainfall that are used in METPI show an area of higher than normal rainfall associated with the SPCZ position.
Tropical rainfall and SST outlook: October to December 2012
The tropical Pacific is close to El Niño thresholds, but the atmosphere is still not showing patterns typical of El Niño.
Data Sources
Sources of South Pacific rainfall data