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Island Climate Update 136 - January 2012

An overview of the present climate in the tropical South Pacific Islands, with an outlook for the coming months, to assist in dissemination of climate information in the Pacific region 

Introduction

El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO)

  • ENSO diagnostics indicate La Niña conditions exist in the EquatorialPacific Ocean. Many dynamical and statistical climate models suggest
  • La Nina will continue to persist at least moderate strength through summer.

Tropical cyclone forecast for 2011 -12 season